Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.824877 4.082805 4.357469 4.673114 5.027587 5.415448 5.874795
2025-09-14 3.317696 3.661888 4.049498 4.523366 5.094196 5.769305 6.643366
2025-09-21 3.023251 3.409198 3.859995 4.434740 5.162363 6.074164 7.340621
2025-09-28 2.824403 3.237413 3.733615 4.387687 5.250162 6.385517 8.064656
2025-10-05 2.685905 3.121620 3.657915 4.385814 5.381541 6.753906 8.911603
2025-10-12 2.603496 3.065838 3.648231 4.461615 5.616018 7.284595 10.087783
2025-10-19 2.527328 3.010419 3.631471 4.521385 5.827913 7.803647 11.349052
2025-10-26 2.443023 2.937681 3.584495 4.531697 5.963745 8.218374 12.520841
2025-11-02 2.341532 2.835758 3.490364 4.465106 5.972965 8.424841 13.349523
2025-11-09 2.235376 2.721978 3.372885 4.354765 5.901346 8.482287 13.891271
2025-11-16 2.153250 2.636771 3.290221 4.289414 5.893716 8.647114 14.697465
2025-11-23 2.106542 2.597552 3.269613 4.314913 6.034679 9.095885 16.267353
2025-11-30 2.052756 2.548023 3.234216 4.319250 6.147790 9.524724 17.989331
2025-12-07 1.963354 2.445442 3.117632 4.189798 6.019943 9.468176 18.447243
2025-12-14 1.894800 2.369612 3.036638 4.111598 5.974901 9.572172 19.397498
2025-12-21 1.841301 2.312934 2.980980 4.069969 5.990364 9.802340 20.818856
2025-12-28 1.802069 2.275053 2.951333 4.068310 6.077878 10.200598 22.978335
2026-01-04 1.783012 2.265316 2.963180 4.135371 6.299941 10.940685 26.820583
2026-01-11 1.761419 2.250845 2.966773 4.188189 6.499685 11.671724 31.286261
2026-01-18 1.730597 2.221553 2.945944 4.197296 6.613094 12.214451 35.494851
2026-01-25 1.685740 2.169969 2.888206 4.138458 6.582167 12.377410 37.981259
2026-02-01 1.634270 2.107122 2.810648 4.040818 6.462944 12.285122 39.001052
2026-02-08 1.594141 2.060229 2.756815 3.982903 6.423162 12.408132 41.519904